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Metric
Assumption
Rationale & Justification
Target Daily Active Users (DAU)
5,000,000 by Month 11
The primary goal, achieved through aggressive marketing campaigns funded by the seed round.
Monthly Churn Rate

8%

An industry-standard assumption for mobile applications, ensuring user growth projections are realistic and account for natural user attrition.

Paying User Conversion Rate
2% of DAU
A conservative estimate of the percentage of daily active users who will opt to purchase the AI Bot subscription at $500/month.
Free User Conversion Rate
10% of DAU
The estimated percentage of users who will successfully achieve Level 10 and unlock the AI Bot for free.
Average Monthly Profit per Bot User
$100
A conservative estimate of the net profit generated by the AI trading bot for each user per month.
Profit Share Rate
30%
FlowerBTC's share of the profit generated by the bots, aligning the company's success with the success of its users.

Month (1 to 12)

FCF Forecast ($)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

FCF Forecast (Bootstrap)
FCF Forecast (Post-Funding)
Month 4: Key Inflection Point: Business turns cash flow positive.
Month 5: Monthly revenue significantly outpaces burn.
Month 6: AI Bot revenue streams (subscriptions & profit-share) go live.
Month 7: Revenue growth accelerates as user base matures.
Month 11: Primary Target Achieved: 5M Daily Active Users.
Month 12: Year ends with strong revenue momentum.

Charts

by Livoa

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